BASD-CMIP6-PE: bias-adjusted and statistically downscaled CMIP6 projections over Peru and Ecuador

Cite as:

Fernandez-Palomino, Carlos Antonio; Hattermann, Fred F; Krysanova, Valentina; Vega-Jácome, Fiorella; Menz, Christoph; Gleixner, Stephanie; Bronstert, Axel (2023): BASD-CMIP6-PE: bias-adjusted and statistically downscaled CMIP6 projections over Peru and Ecuador. GFZ Data Services. https://doi.org/10.5880/pik.2023.001

Status

I N R E V I E W : Fernandez-Palomino, Carlos Antonio; Hattermann, Fred F; Krysanova, Valentina; Vega-Jácome, Fiorella; Menz, Christoph; Gleixner, Stephanie; Bronstert, Axel (2023): BASD-CMIP6-PE: bias-adjusted and statistically downscaled CMIP6 projections over Peru and Ecuador. GFZ Data Services. https://doi.org/10.5880/pik.2023.001

Abstract

The new climate dataset, BASD-CMIP6-PE, for Peru and Ecuador is based on bias-adjusted and statistically downscaled CMIP6 climate projections from 10 GCMs. It addresses the need for reliable high-resolution (1d, 10km) climate data covering Peru and Ecuador. This dataset includes historical simulations (1850-2014) and future projections (2015-2100) for precipitation and minimum, mean, and maximum temperature under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs:SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5). The BASD-CMIP6-PE climate data were generated using the trend-preserving Bias Adjustment and Statistical Downscaling (BASD) method (Lange, 2019, 2021) and data from regional observational datasets such as RAIN4PE (Fernandez-Palomino et al., 2021a,b) for precipitation and PISCO-temperature (Huerta et al., 2018) for temperatures as reference data. The reliability of the BASD-CMIP6-PE was evaluated using observational data and through hydrological modeling across Peruvian and Ecuadorian river basins in the historical period. The evaluation demonstrated the dataset’s reliability in describing spatial patterns of atmospheric variables and streamflow simulation, including mean, low, and high flows. This suggests the usefulness of the new dataset for assessing regional climate change impacts on agriculture, water resources, and hydrological extremes.

The BASD-CMIP6-PE data are available for the domain covering Peru and Ecuador, located between 19°S and 2°N and 82°W to 67°W, with a spatial resolution of 0.1° and a daily temporal resolution. The unit for precipitation is millimeters (mm), and for temperature, it is degrees Celsius (°C).

The BASD-CMIP6-PE dataset is organized within a "daily" folder, denoting its availability at a 1 daily temporal resolution. Within this directory, four subfolders are present: "historical" containing historical data, "ssp126" for SSP1-2.6, "ssp370" for SSP3-7.0, and "ssp585" for SSP5-8.5. Each of these subfolders further includes ten distinct folders, corresponding to different GCMs: CanESM5, IPSL–CM6A–LR, UKESM1–0–LL, CNRM–CM6–1, CNRM–ESM2–1, MIROC6, GFDL–ESM4, MRI–ESM2–0, MPI–ESM1–2–HR, and EC–Earth3. These folders store the data in the NetCDF format arranged by model, model member, experiment, variable, temporal resolution, and subset period, resulting in file names like "canesm5_r1i1p1f1_ssp126_pr_daily_2015_2020.nc".

For a detailed description of the BASD-CMIP6-PE development and evaluation, readers are advised to read Fernandez-Palomino et al. (2023), for which this dataset is supplementary material.

Authors

Fernandez-Palomino, Carlos Antonio;Research Department II – Climate Resilience, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany; Institute of Environmental Science and Geography, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany
Hattermann, Fred F;Research Department II – Climate Resilience, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
Krysanova, Valentina;Research Department II – Climate Resilience, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
Vega-Jácome, Fiorella;Institute of Environmental Science and Geography, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany
Menz, Christoph;Research Department II – Climate Resilience, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
Gleixner, Stephanie;Research Department II – Climate Resilience, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
Bronstert, Axel;Institute of Environmental Science and Geography, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany

Contact

Fernandez-Palomino (Carlos Antonio) ; Research Department II – Climate Resilience, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany;

Contributors

Fernandez-Palomino

Keywords

CMIP6, projections, climate models, climate change, high-resolution, precipitation, temperature, Peru, Ecuador, Andes, Amazon

GCMD Science Keywords

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